Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Forex Scalping for Beginners - Learn This Simple Fact or Lose!

This article is all about forex scalping for beginners and a key fact you need to learn, if you are thinking of incorporating it in your forex trading strategy - If you don't understand this fact, you are 100% guaranteed to lose, so here it is...

Forex scalping is based on dumb logic and doesn't work. Before we look at why, lets dispel the myth that vendors selling scalping systems make money - they don't. You will always see this with any track record - read it carefully:

"CFTC RULE 4.41 - Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown".

Personally I think the above should be banned and vendors should NOT be able to present track records that are not real, as they are totally meaningless.

Let's face it who couldn't make money knowing the closing prices?

My little Niece could beat George Soros (and she's only 9) if she knows the closing prices! The problem is we can all be multi millionaires quickly with this info - but trading forex is a little harder, we have to trade not knowing the prices in advance.

Check any forex scalping track record you like and you will see the above or a similar disclaimer. I did see one that printed the vendor's bank statements as proof the system made money but that profit was probably from selling systems not trading!

Of course there were no supporting broker statements.

So why is forex scalping destined to lose?

Think about how prices are determined:

Millions of traders all with different systems, motivations etc all as a mass group decide the price and you CANNOT Predict what this group will do in a matter of hours.

All short term volatility is random in nature, you cannot use short term levels of support and resistance, so you cannot get the odds in your favor and you therefore cannot win at forex scalping and that's a fact.

Forex scalping and day trading is an area where you won't make money, so don't bother trying. If you must trade short term use forex swing trading - its still short term but you can get the odds in your favor and that's what you need to win at forex trading.

Today there are many vendors who simply lie about the profit potential of forex scalping and hope the naïve or greedy trader falls for it - make sure you don't.

Forex scalping always reminds me of the old burger king ad where they claimed to have more beef in their burgers than McDonald's and in the ad the man picked the burger up and said:

"Where's the beef?"

In forex scalping terms translated means:

Where is the real audited track record?

To be fair it's not a fair comparison.

There was of course beef in the McDonalds burger - but you won't find any profits in the track record of a scalper, just a made up track record done without trading!

So our lesson is in terms of forex scalping for beginners - forget it, try a different way of making money in forex and if you want to trade short term - try swing trading.

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